We have to accept volatility as long term equity investors. It can get way worse than this. Anyone remember August 2011...? My way to cope with volatility is to be indifferent to total return. It works for me, although I know it sounds crazy to most people.
Anyways, last night I entered a couple buys orders not knowing equities were about to be spanked. One for XOM, the other for WPC. I did not expect either, let alone both, to fill.
The first buy I'll discuss is Exxon Mobil. I'm pretty sure everyone knows this company. It's either the largest or second largest company in the world going back and forth with Apple. I don't feel I need to explain this purchase in great detail. All I'll say is that I came up with a fair value of $103 and was able to purchase shares at a discount to that price. When I calculate buy prices, I use the average of four valuation techniques: DDM, DCF, average yield, & average p/e. I feel this purchase will be a long term winner, plus the 2.8% YOC isn't bad either. The bottom line is that my passive income grew with this purchase. I'm now a little closer to an early retirement.
The second purchase is a company that has been sitting on my watch list for a few years: W.P. Carey. WPC is a REIT with unique characteristics that I find extremely appealing. Although I may have jumped the gun buying a REIT right now (perhaps I should have let the dust settle), I feel this company is a top shelf triple net play along with O and NNN. I would like to own all three, but honestly WPC is probably my favorite. It doesn't pay monthly like O, but it does offer worldwide diversification and also receives revenue managing the CPA & CWI lines of private REITs. This is my first entry into the world real estate market.
W.P. Carey was structured as an MLP for most of the time I have been watching it. Back in September 2012 it merged with one of its privately managed REITs, CPA 15, and then was able to restructure as REIT itself (and dramatically increase the dividend). It now does sale lease backs like O or NNN, but on a global scale. It owns properties in Europe as well as North America. It also manages a line of private (not publicly traded) REITs for high net worth clients. These are known as CPA 16 and CPA 17. Again these properties encompass more than just the US with investments extending past even Europe and North America into Asian countries including Thailand, Malaysia, and Japan. The world is WPC's oyster.
A few properties WPC owns and leases to the occupant:
|Distribution Center in the Netherlands|
|New York Times HQ|
|Google, Inc. Venice, CA|
I've always had a difficult time valuing REITs. Honestly I don't know if I paid too much. I'm not convinced today was the best time to buy a REIT either. Interest rates are rising. However REITs will be a part of my early retirement strategy since I will not be getting into physical real estate and WPC is one I really wanted. It's way off the 52 week high, I guess I can take solace knowing I didn't buy at $79. On a side note, my parents rent out a house and are having major problems with the renter which is causing headache after headache. My dad is constantly on the phone dealing with problems when he should be going for a bike ride or otherwise enjoying retirement. It's a tough situation and they are looking to cash out.
This purchase came with 5.0% YOC and will get me a little closer to the promise land just like the XOM purchase.
EDIT: WPC announced its 49th consecutive quarterly dividend increase while I was typing this post earlier today. My YOC is now 5.1%, that didn't take long.